According to the baseline forecast scenario, in 2024, new bus sales will amount to 16.62 thousand units. Under the optimistic scenario, sales will reach 15.98 thousand units, while under the pessimistic scenario, they will reach 14.83 thousand units.
The baseline forecast scenario is based on the following prerequisites:
Sales of NEFAZ, LIAZ, VOLGABUS and other Russian buses will also grow slightly in 2024 compared to 2023, but the growth rate will be lower than that of PAZ buses. Bus purchases under federal and regional programs will continue.
The baseline forecast scenario is based on the following prerequisites:
- Sanctions against the Russian Federation will remain until the end of 2024.
- In 2024, PAZ bus sales in the Russian market will grow by 3.65% on 2023.
Sales of NEFAZ, LIAZ, VOLGABUS and other Russian buses will also grow slightly in 2024 compared to 2023, but the growth rate will be lower than that of PAZ buses. Bus purchases under federal and regional programs will continue.